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President Orlean:
Mmm-hmm. So how certain is this?Dr. Randall Mindy:There's 100% certainty of impact.President Orlean:Please, don't say 100%.Old Aide #2:Can we just call it a potentiality significant event?President Orlean:Yeah.Kate Dibiasky:But it isn't *potentially* going to happen. It *is* going to happen.Dr. Randall Mindy:Exactly, 99.78% to be exact.Jason Orlean:Oh, great. Okay, so it's not 100%.Dr. Teddy Oglethorpe:Well, scientists never like to say 100%.President Orlean:Call it 70% and let's just move on.Kate Dibiasky:But it's not even close to 70%.President Orlean:You cannot go around saying to people that There's 100% chance that they're going to die. You know? It's just nuts
Mmm-hmm. So how certain is this?Dr. Randall Mindy:There's 100% certainty of impact.President Orlean:Please, don't say 100%.Old Aide #2:Can we just call it a potentiality significant event?President Orlean:Yeah.Kate Dibiasky:But it isn't *potentially* going to happen. It *is* going to happen.Dr. Randall Mindy:Exactly, 99.78% to be exact.Jason Orlean:Oh, great. Okay, so it's not 100%.Dr. Teddy Oglethorpe:Well, scientists never like to say 100%.President Orlean:Call it 70% and let's just move on.Kate Dibiasky:But it's not even close to 70%.President Orlean:You cannot go around saying to people that There's 100% chance that they're going to die. You know? It's just nuts
Full Transcript
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Mmm hmm
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So how certain is this
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There's 100 certainty of impact
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Please don't say 100
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Can we just call it a potentially significant event
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Yeah Yes
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But it isn't potentially going to happen
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It is going to happen
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Exactly 99 78 to be exact
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Oh great Okay so it's not 100
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Well scientists never like to say 100
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Call it 70 and let's just move on
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But it's not even close to 70
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You cannot go around saying to people
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that there's 100 chance that they're gonna die
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You know It's just nuts
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ما نسبة تأكيد الخبر
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الاصطدام مؤكد بنسبة 100 بالمئة
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أرجوك أل ا تقول 100 بالمئة
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أيمكننا اعتباره مجر د حدث ي حتمل أن تكون له أهمية
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نعم نعم
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ولكن ليس من المحتمل أن يحدث
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بل سيحدث فعل ا
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بالضبط 99 78 بالمئة على وجه التحديد
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رائع حسن ا ليس 100 بالمئة
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لا يحب العلماء أبد ا قول 100 بالمئة
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اعتبروه 70 بالمئة ولنمض قدم ا فحسب
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ولكن ه ليس قريب ا حتى من 70 بالمئة
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لا يمكن القول للناس
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إنه ي وجد احتمال بنسبة 100 بالمئة بأنهم سيموتون
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أتفهمون هذا جنون
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এট কতট ক ন শ চ ত
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প থ ব ত আছড় পড় র সম ভ বন শতভ গ ন শ চ ত
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ধ য ত শতভ গ বলব ন ন
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আমর এট ক সম ভ ব য গ র ত বপ র ণ ঘটন বল আখ য য় ত করত প র
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জ ব ম ন নসই
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ক ন ত এখ ন ত আমর সম ভ বন র কথ বলছ ন
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উল ক ট দ ন য় র ব ক আছড় পড়ব ই
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৯৯ ৭৮ ন শ চ ত য এট ঘটত য চ ছ
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আচ ছ ব চ গ ল ত হল শতভ গ ন শ চ ত ন এট
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জ ব ব জ ঞ ন র কখনও আসল ক নও ক ছ ঘট র সম ভ বন শতভ গ উল ল খ কর ন ন
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সম ভ বন র ম ত র ৭০ ধর ন চ ছ এরপর বল ন
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৭০ ক স র ভ ত ত ত ধরল ন আপন
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আপন ত ম ন ষক যত রতত র বলত প রব ন ন য
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আপন মরব ন এট শতভ গ ন শ চ ত
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কথ ট শ নত ক মন য ন হ স যকর ল গছ
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这个结论有多肯定
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撞击概率是100
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拜托 别说100
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我们可以称之为潜在重要事件吗
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对 好
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但这不是潜在会发生的事
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它一定会发生的
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没错 准确地说是99 78
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很好 那就不是100
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科学家从来都不喜欢说100
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就当是70 吧 继续往下说
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但概率根本没有70 那么低
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你总不能到处和别人说
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他们100 会死吧
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那可太疯狂了
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Koliko je to sigurno Udar je 100 izvjestan
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Ne spominjite 100
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Bi li to bio potencijalno bitan događaj
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Da Da
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Ali neće se dogoditi potencijalno
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već sigurno
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Upravo tako Točno 99 78 sigurno
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U redu Znači nije 100
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Znanstvenici nikad ne govore 100
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Onda recimo da je 70 i idemo dalje
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To nije ni približno točno
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Ne možete ljudima reći
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da će 100 umrijeti
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To je ludo
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Je to jisté
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Máme 100 jistotu zásahu
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Prosím vás to neříkejte
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Nemůžeme říct že je to potenciálně závažné
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Jo Ano
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Ale to se nestane potenciálně
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Stane se to jistě
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Přesně na 99 78
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Výborně Takže ne na sto procent
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Vědci neradi mluví o sto procentech
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Tak řekněme 70 a jdeme dál
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Není to ani náhodou 70
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Nemůžete jen tak lidem říkat
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že stoprocentně umřou
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Víte To je prostě na palici
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Hvor sikkert er det
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Den rammer 100 procent sikkert
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Sig ikke 100 procent
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Kan vi kalde det en eventuelt betydelig begivenhed
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Ja Ja
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Men det sker ikke eventuelt
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Det sker
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Med 99 78 procents chance
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Alletiders Det er ikke 100 procent
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Forskere bryder sig ikke om at sige 100 procent
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Vi siger 70 procent og kommer videre Det er ikke tæt på 70 procent
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Man kan ikke gå rundt og sige til folk
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at der er 100 procents chance for at de dør
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Er du med Det er hul i hovedet
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Hoe zeker is dit
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Hij slaat 100 procent zeker in
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Zeg geen 100 procent
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Zullen we het 'mogelijk significant' noemen
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Het is niet 'mogelijk'
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Het gaat gebeuren
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Precies 99 78 procent kans
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Geweldig Dus geen 100 procent
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Wetenschappers zeggen nooit 100 procent
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We zeggen 70 procent en we gaan verder
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Maar dat is niet zo
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Je kunt mensen niet vertellen dat er 100 procent kans is dat ze sterven
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Snap je Dat is gestoord
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Kuinka varmaa se on Osuman varmuus on 100 prosenttia
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Älkää sanoko 100 prosenttia
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Sanotaan potentiaalisesti merkittävä tapahtuma
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Tapahtuma ei ole potentiaalinen Se on varma
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Aivan Tarkalleen sanoen 99 78 prosenttia
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Hyvä eli ei sata prosenttia
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Tiedeihmiset eivät koskaan puhu sadasta
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Sanotaan 70 prosenttia ja sillä selvä
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Se ei ole lähelläkään 70 ää
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Ette voi sanoa ihmisille että he kuolevat 100 prosentin varmuudella
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Sehän olisi älytöntä
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On en est certain
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Il y a 100 de certitude sur l'impact
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Pitié ne dites pas 100
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Appelons ça un événement potentiellement significatif
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Ça ne va pas arriver potentiellement
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Ça va arriver
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C'est ça 99 78 pour être précis
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Génial donc c'est pas 100
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Les scientifiques n'aiment pas dire 100
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Disons 70 et avançons
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C'est pas du tout 70
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On peut pas dire aux gens
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qu'ils ont 100 de chance de mourir
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C'est débile
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Wie sicher ist das
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Es sind 100 Einschlagwahrscheinlichkeit
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Bitte sagen Sie nicht 100
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Nennen wir es ein potenziell signifikantes Ereignis
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Ja Ja
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Aber es ist nicht potenziell
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Es wird passieren
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Genau 99 78 um genau zu sein
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Super Also doch keine 100
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Wissenschaftler sagen nicht gern 100
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Sagen wir 70 und weiter geht's
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Aber 70 ist falsch
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Sie können den Leuten doch nicht sagen
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dass sie zu 100 sterben werden
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Das ist verrückt
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Πόσο σίγουρο είναι
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Η πρόσκρουση επιβεβαιώθηκε εκατό τοις εκατό
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Να χαρείς άσε τα εκατό τοις εκατό
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Είναι ένα ενδεχομένως σημαντικό γεγονός
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Ναι Ναι
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Ναι αλλά δεν ενδέχεται να γίνει
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Θα γίνει σίγουρα
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Εννοείται Κατά 99 78 για την ακρίβεια
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Τέλεια Άρα δεν είναι 100
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Οι επιστήμονες δεν λένε ποτέ εκατό τοις εκατό
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Ας πούμε 70 και πάμε παρακάτω
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Μα απέχει πολύ απ' αυτό
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Δεν μπορείτε να πείτε στον κόσμο
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ότι έχουν 100 πιθανότητα να πεθάνουν
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Καταλάβατε Είναι τρελό
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עד כמה זה ודאי
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הפגיעה ודאית במאת האחוזים
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בבקשה אל תגיד 100 אחוזים
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אפשר לכנות את זה מאורע בעל חשיבות פוטנציאלית
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כן כן
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אבל זה לא יקרה פוטנציאלית
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זה אכן יקרה
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בדיוק ב 99 78 אחוזים אם לדייק
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יופי אז לא במאת האחוזים
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המדענים לא אוהבים להגיד 100 אחוזים
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נגיד 70 אחוזים ונמשיך הלאה
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אבל זה לא קרוב בכלל ל 70 אחוזים
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אי אפשר להגיד לאנשים
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שהם ימותו במאת האחוזים
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אתם יודעים זה פשוט מטורף
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Mennyi az esélye
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Száz százalék hogy elkerülhetetlen az ütközés
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Kérem ne mondja hogy 100
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Nevezhetjük potenciálisan komoly eseménynek
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Igen Igen
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De nem potenciálisan fog megtörténni
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Hanem biztosan
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Pontosan 99 78 os valószínűséggel
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Szuper Akkor nem 100
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A tudósok soha nem mondják hogy 100
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Legyen 70 és haladjunk
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De messze van a 70 tól
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Mégsem mondhatjuk azt az embereknek
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hogy 100 hogy meghalnak
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Ugye Tiszta dili
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Seyakin apa
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Kepastian tabrakannya 100
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Tolong jangan bilang 100
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Bisa disebut peristiwa berpotensi penting
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Ya Ya
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Namun ini bukan berpotensi akan terjadi
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Ini pasti terjadi
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Benar Tepatnya 99 78
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Bagus Jadi bukan 100
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Ilmuwan tak pernah suka mengatakan 100
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Sebut saja 70 dan kita lanjutkan
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Namun tak mendekati 70
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Kau tak bisa bilang ke orang orang
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ada peluang 100 mereka akan mati
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Kau tahu Itu gila
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Il margine di certezza
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Siamo sicuri al 100 che l'impatto avverrà
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Non dite 100
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Se lo definissimo potenzialmente rilevante
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Sì Sì
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Ma non è un evento potenziale
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È certo
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Esatto La probabilità è del 99 78 a essere precisi
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Magnifico Quindi non è del 100
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Beh gli scienziati non usano mai il 100
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Diciamo che è del 70 e andiamo avanti
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Ma non è affatto del 70
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Non potete dire alla gente
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che ha il 100 di probabilità di morire
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Capite È assurdo
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確かなの
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100 の確率で衝突します
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やめて 100 だなんて
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大災害の可能性がある と
00:00:11.167 --> 00:00:15.625
可能性ではなく 確実に起きることです
00:00:15.709 --> 00:00:19.792
そうです 正確には99 78 の確率で
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よかった 100 じゃない
00:00:22.084 --> 00:00:24.959
科学者は100 と言わない
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70 で話を進めて
00:00:27.584 --> 00:00:29.025
70 の根拠は
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人に言えないでしょ
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100 の確率で 死にます って
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それを言うのは バカよ
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정확도는요
00:00:02.125 --> 00:00:05.025
충돌 확률 100 예요
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제발 100 라곤 하지 마세요
00:00:07.542 --> 00:00:10.209
잠재적 중대 사건으로 부르면 안 될까요
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그래요 네
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근데 잠재적으로 벌어질 일이 아니라
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반드시 벌어져요
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네 정확하게는 99 78 예요
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잘됐네요 100 는 아니네
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원래 과학자는 100 라고 하지 않아요
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70 라고 치고 들어보죠
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70 정도가 아니라니까요
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지나가는 사람들 붙들고서
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당신은 100 죽는다면 납득하겠어요
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누가 봐도 미친 소리잖아요
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Berapa tahap kepastian Saya yakin 100 peratus ada impak besar
00:00:05.334 --> 00:00:07.375
Tolong jangan kata 100 peratus
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Bolehkah ia digelar peristiwa yang mungkin penting
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Ya Ya
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Tapi ia bukan mungkin berlaku Ia memang akan terjadi
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Ya pada kebarangkalian 99 78 peratus
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Bagus Bukanlah 100 peratus
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Saintis tak suka sebut 100 peratus
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Anggap saja 70 peratus dan lupakan
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Bukan 70 peratus pun
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Kita tak boleh hebahkan
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ada 100 peratus kemungkinan orang akan mati
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Memang gila
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Hvor sikkert er dette En kollisjon er 100 sikker
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Ikke si 100
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Kan vi kalle det en mulig betydelig hendelse
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Ja Ja
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Men det vil ikke muligens skje
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Det vil skje
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Nettopp 99 78 for å være nøyaktig
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Flott Så det er ikke 100
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Forskere liker ikke å si 100
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Si 70 så fortsetter vi
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Men det er ikke nær 70
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Du kan ikke si til folk
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at de helt sikkert vil dø
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Det er sprøtt
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Na ile jest to pewne Prawdopodobieństwo zderzenia to 100
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Błagam tylko nie 100
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Nazwijmy to potencjalnie znaczącym wydarzeniem
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Ale to nie będzie potencjalne zderzenie To będzie zderzenie
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Właśnie Dokładniej mówiąc prawdopodobieństwo wynosi 99 78
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Super Czyli nie 100
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Naukowcy unikają sformułowania 100
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Umówmy się że 70 Jedźmy dalej
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To nie jest 70
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Nie możemy powiedzieć ludziom że mają 100 szans na to że wyginą
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No wiecie
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To obłęd
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Qual é o nível de certeza É 100 certo que haverá impacto
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Por favor não diga 100
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Podemos só chamar lhe um evento potencialmente significativo
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Sim Mas não é algo potencial
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Vai mesmo acontecer
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Exato Com 99 78 de certeza para ser preciso
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Ótimo Então não é 100
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Os cientistas não gostam de dizer 100
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Digamos 70 e pronto
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Mas nem está perto disso
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Não podem andar por aí a dizer às pessoas que é 100 certo que vão morrer
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Não é É uma loucura
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Cât e de sigur
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Suntem siguri 100 de impact
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Te rog nu spune 100
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Să i spunem eveniment potențial semnificativ
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Da Da
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Dar nu e potențial
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Chiar se va întâmpla
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Mai exact 99 78
00:00:19.875 --> 00:00:22.000
Grozav Deci nu e 100
00:00:22.084 --> 00:00:24.959
Oamenii de știință nu spun niciodată 100
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Să zicem 70 și să mergem mai departe
00:00:27.584 --> 00:00:29.025
Nu e nici pe departe 70
00:00:29.334 --> 00:00:31.667
Nu putem merge să le spunem oamenilor
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că au 100 șanse să moară
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Da E absurd
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Насколько это точно
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Вероятность столкновения 100
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Прошу не говорите 100
00:00:07.459 --> 00:00:10.125
Можно сказать потенциально важное событие
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Да Да
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Но это случится не потенциально
00:00:14.459 --> 00:00:15.625
Это случится
00:00:15.709 --> 00:00:19.792
Именно С точностью в 99 78
00:00:19.875 --> 00:00:22.000
Отлично Значит не 100
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Ученые никогда так не говорят
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Скажем 70 и двинемся дальше
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Но это далеко не 70
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Нельзя взять и сказать людям
00:00:31.075 --> 00:00:33.005
что они стопроцентно умрут
00:00:34.542 --> 00:00:37.005
Понимаете Это безумие
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Qué certeza hay
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Hay un 100 de certeza de impacto
00:00:05.834 --> 00:00:07.875
Por favor no diga 100
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Sería un evento potencialmente significativo
00:00:10.709 --> 00:00:11.584
Sí Sí
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Pero no va a suceder potencialmente
00:00:14.959 --> 00:00:16.125
Va a suceder
00:00:16.209 --> 00:00:20.292
Exacto Con una probabilidad del 99 78 para ser exacto
00:00:20.375 --> 00:00:22.005
Genial Entonces no es del 100
00:00:22.584 --> 00:00:25.459
A los científicos no les gusta decir 100
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Déjelo en un 70 y sigamos adelante
00:00:28.084 --> 00:00:29.075
Pero ni está cerca del 70
00:00:29.834 --> 00:00:32.167
No pueden ir por ahí diciendo
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que hay 100 de probabilidades de que muramos
00:00:35.002 --> 00:00:38.000
Es una locura
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Hur säkra är ni Kollisionen är säkerställd till 100
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Snälla säg inte 100
00:00:07.459 --> 00:00:10.125
Kan vi kalla det en potentiell stor händelse
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Ja Ja
00:00:11.167 --> 00:00:15.625
Men det är ingen potentiell händelse Det kommer att hända
00:00:15.709 --> 00:00:19.792
Ja med 99 78 procents säkerhet
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Vad bra Inte 100 alltså
00:00:22.084 --> 00:00:24.959
Vetenskapsmän använder sig sällan av 100
00:00:25.002 --> 00:00:29.025
Säg 70 och gå vidare Men 70 är inte ens i närheten
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Ni kan inte tala om för folk
00:00:31.075 --> 00:00:34.459
att de kommer att dö med 100 procents säkerhet
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Det är ju vansinne
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ง นเร องน แน นอนแค ไหน
00:00:02.125 --> 00:00:05.025
จะเก ดการปะทะแน นอนร อยเปอร เซ นต คร บ
00:00:05.334 --> 00:00:07.375
ขอละ อย าบอกว าร อยเปอร เซ นต
00:00:07.459 --> 00:00:10.125
เร ยกว าเหต การณ ท เป นไปได ว าส าค ญด ไหม
00:00:10.209 --> 00:00:11.084
ได ด
00:00:11.167 --> 00:00:14.375
แต ม นไม ใช แค เป นไปได
00:00:14.459 --> 00:00:15.625
ม นจะเก ดข นแน ๆ
00:00:15.709 --> 00:00:19.792
ใช เลย เอาเป ะๆ ก 99 78
00:00:19.875 --> 00:00:22.000
เย ยม โอเค ง นก ไม ใช ร อยเปอร เซ นต
00:00:22.084 --> 00:00:24.959
น กว ทยาศาสตร ไม ชอบบอกว าร อยเปอร เซ นต
00:00:25.002 --> 00:00:27.005
ต เป น 70 แล วก น แล วค ยเร องอ นต อ
00:00:27.584 --> 00:00:29.025
ม นไม ใกล เค ยง 70 ด วยซ า
00:00:29.334 --> 00:00:31.667
เราจะเท ยวไปบอกชาวบ านว า
00:00:31.075 --> 00:00:34.459
พวกเขาม โอกาสตายร อยเปอร เซ นต ไม ได
00:00:34.542 --> 00:00:37.005
ร ไหม ม นบ ามาก
00:00:01.000 --> 00:00:02.167
Bu ne kadar kesin
00:00:02.025 --> 00:00:05.025
Çarpma ihtimali 100
00:00:05.334 --> 00:00:07.375
Lütfen 100 deme
00:00:07.459 --> 00:00:10.125
Olası bir tehlike desek
00:00:10.209 --> 00:00:11.084
Evet Evet
00:00:11.167 --> 00:00:14.375
Ama bu sadece bir olasılık değil ki
00:00:14.459 --> 00:00:15.625
Kesinlikle olacak
00:00:15.709 --> 00:00:19.792
Aynen Tam olarak 99 78
00:00:19.875 --> 00:00:22.000
Harika Bak işte 100 değilmiş
00:00:22.084 --> 00:00:24.959
Bilim insanları asla 100 demek istemez
00:00:25.002 --> 00:00:27.005
70 diyelim olsun bitsin
00:00:27.584 --> 00:00:29.025
Ama 70'ten çok daha yüksek
00:00:29.334 --> 00:00:31.667
Halkın önüne çıkıp
00:00:31.075 --> 00:00:34.459
100 ölecekleri söylenilmez
00:00:34.542 --> 00:00:37.005
Anlatabildim mi Delilik bu
00:00:01.000 --> 00:00:02.042
Це точно
00:00:02.125 --> 00:00:05.025
Точність зіткнення 100
00:00:05.334 --> 00:00:07.375
Будь ласка не кажіть 100
00:00:07.459 --> 00:00:10.125
Можна сказати що це ймовірно значуща подія
00:00:10.209 --> 00:00:11.084
Так Так
00:00:11.167 --> 00:00:13.792
Але вона не ймовірно станеться
00:00:14.459 --> 00:00:19.792
Вона точно станеться Так На 99 78 якщо точніше
00:00:19.875 --> 00:00:22.000
Чудово Отже не 100
00:00:22.084 --> 00:00:24.959
Науковці ніколи не кажуть 100
00:00:25.002 --> 00:00:29.025
Хай буде 70 і йдемо далі Але це навіть близько не 70
00:00:29.334 --> 00:00:31.667
Не можна казати людям
00:00:31.075 --> 00:00:34.459
що існує 100 ймовірність що вони помруть
00:00:34.542 --> 00:00:37.005
Розумієте Це божевілля
00:00:01.000 --> 00:00:02.042
Chắc chắn đến cỡ nào
00:00:02.125 --> 00:00:05.025
Chắc chắn 100 có va chạm
00:00:05.334 --> 00:00:07.375
Làm ơn đừng nói 100
00:00:07.459 --> 00:00:10.125
Ta có thể gọi nó là sự kiện trọng đại tiềm tàng
00:00:10.209 --> 00:00:11.084
Ừ Phải
00:00:11.167 --> 00:00:14.375
Nhưng nó đâu có tiềm tàng khả năng xảy ra
00:00:14.459 --> 00:00:15.625
Nó sẽ xảy ra
00:00:15.709 --> 00:00:19.792
Đúng thế Độ chính xác 99 78
00:00:19.875 --> 00:00:22.000
Tuyệt Rồi vậy là không phải 100
00:00:22.084 --> 00:00:24.959
Các nhà khoa học không bao giờ thích nói 100
00:00:25.002 --> 00:00:27.005
Cứ xem là 70 và tiếp tục nào
00:00:27.584 --> 00:00:29.025
Nhưng nó chẳng hề gần 70
00:00:29.334 --> 00:00:31.667
Cô không thể đi khắp nơi bảo mọi người
00:00:31.075 --> 00:00:34.459
rằng có khả năng 100 là họ sẽ chết
00:00:34.542 --> 00:00:37.005
Hiểu chứ Thế là điên đấy
Available in 30 languages
Duration
41 seconds
Views
390
Timestamp in Movie
00:19:59
Uploaded
Feb 19, 2026
Production
Hyperobject Industries
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Movie Summary
Two low-level astronomers must go on a giant media tour to warn humankind of an approaching comet that will destroy planet Earth.




