To watch in HD, get ClipCafe PRO
Join the conversation
Log in or create an account to leave a comment
Log In
Peter Brand:
It's about getting things down to one number. Using stats to reread them, we'll find the value of players that nobody else can see. People are over looked for a variety of biased reasons and perceived flaws. Age, appearance, personality. Bill James and mathematics cuts straight through that. Billy, of the twenty thousand knowable players for us to consider, I believe that there is a championship team of twenty five people that we can afford. Because everyone else in baseball under values them. Like an island of misfit toys
It's about getting things down to one number. Using stats to reread them, we'll find the value of players that nobody else can see. People are over looked for a variety of biased reasons and perceived flaws. Age, appearance, personality. Bill James and mathematics cuts straight through that. Billy, of the twenty thousand knowable players for us to consider, I believe that there is a championship team of twenty five people that we can afford. Because everyone else in baseball under values them. Like an island of misfit toys
Full Transcript
00:00:01.000 --> 00:00:03.669
It's about getting things down to one number
00:00:04.128 --> 00:00:06.672
Using the stats the way we read them
00:00:06.839 --> 00:00:10.003
we'll find value in players that nobody else can see
00:00:13.512 --> 00:00:14.847
People are overlooked
00:00:15.999 --> 00:00:18.809
for a variety of biased reasons and perceived flaws
00:00:18.976 --> 00:00:22.271
Age appearance personality
00:00:22.438 --> 00:00:27.192
Bill James and mathematics cut straight through that
00:00:28.777 --> 00:00:32.003
Billy of the 20 000 notable players for us to consider
00:00:32.239 --> 00:00:34.783
I believe that there is a championship team
00:00:34.095 --> 00:00:38.012
of 25 people that we can afford
00:00:38.287 --> 00:00:41.457
because everyone else in baseball undervalues them
00:00:41.624 --> 00:00:44.877
Like an island of misfit toys
00:00:01.000 --> 00:00:03.668
فيه تكون كل الأمور محصورة في رقم واحد
00:00:04.013 --> 00:00:06.672
ونفهم الاحصائيات كليا بمجرد قراءته
00:00:06.084 --> 00:00:10.997
نرى التقييم الدقيق للاعبين في الوقت الذي لا يستطيع أحد غيرنا أن يراه
00:00:13.514 --> 00:00:14.847
بعض الأشياء تتجاوز إدراك الانسان
00:00:15.999 --> 00:00:18.808
يصعب عليه تمييز أسبابا غير منحازة و تصو ر الأخطاء والعيوب
00:00:18.976 --> 00:00:22.271
العمر المظهر الخارجي قوة الشخصية
00:00:22.439 --> 00:00:27.193
بيل جيمس من خلال الرياضيات أنهى كل هذا
00:00:28.779 --> 00:00:32.003
بيلي يوجد 20 ألف لاعبا يستحقون التفكير بهم
00:00:32.024 --> 00:00:34.784
اؤمن أن بإمكاننا تكوين فريق بطل من بينهم
00:00:34.952 --> 00:00:38.012
من خلال 25 لاعبا يمكننا أن نتعاقد معهم
00:00:38.288 --> 00:00:41.456
لأن كل الآخرين في البيسبول قاموا بإهمالهم
00:00:41.623 --> 00:00:44.877
كما لو كانوا يلعبون في جزيرة منبوذة
00:00:01.000 --> 00:00:05.088
Jeg har samlet alle data vi skal bruge til at analysere spillere med
00:00:06.999 --> 00:00:08.758
Det handler om at koge alting ned til ét tal
00:00:09.133 --> 00:00:11.761
Ved at bruge statistikken
00:00:11.886 --> 00:00:15.013
finder vi værdifulde spillere som alle andre har overset
00:00:18.641 --> 00:00:19.894
Folk bliver undervurderet
00:00:20.998 --> 00:00:23.856
på grund af forskellige fordomme
00:00:24.023 --> 00:00:27.234
Alder udseende personlighed
00:00:27.568 --> 00:00:32.199
Ved hjælp af matematik gennemskuede Bill James det
00:00:33.865 --> 00:00:37.003
Af de 20 000 spillere vi bør overveje
00:00:37.203 --> 00:00:40.915
mener jeg vi kan finde 25 mesterskabsvindende spillere
00:00:41.001 --> 00:00:43.125
som vi har råd til
00:00:43.025 --> 00:00:46.587
fordi alle andre inden for baseball undervurderer dem
00:00:46.712 --> 00:00:49.924
Det er som en ø fyldt med legetøj ingen vil have
00:00:01.000 --> 00:00:03.067
We moeten op één getal uitkomen
00:00:04.129 --> 00:00:06.673
Door de statistieken zo te gebruiken
00:00:06.084 --> 00:00:08.425
vinden we waarde in spelers
00:00:08.426 --> 00:00:10.003
die niemand ziet
00:00:13.513 --> 00:00:16.162
Spelers worden over het hoofd gezien
00:00:16.163 --> 00:00:18.081
vanwege allerlei vooroordelen
00:00:18.977 --> 00:00:22.272
Leeftijd uiterlijk persoonlijkheid
00:00:22.439 --> 00:00:24.816
Bill James en de wiskunde
00:00:24.817 --> 00:00:27.194
kijken daar dwars doorheen
00:00:28.778 --> 00:00:30.426
Van de 20 000 spelers
00:00:30.427 --> 00:00:32.998
die we kunnen overwegen
00:00:32.241 --> 00:00:34.784
geloof ik dat er een topteam is
00:00:34.951 --> 00:00:36.537
van 25 mensen
00:00:36.538 --> 00:00:38.122
die wij ons kunnen veroorloven
00:00:38.288 --> 00:00:39.873
omdat alle anderen
00:00:39.874 --> 00:00:41.458
hen onderschatten
00:00:41.625 --> 00:00:44.878
Net een eiland vol vreemd speelgoed
00:00:01.000 --> 00:00:03.753
Asiat tiivistetään yhteen lukuun
00:00:04.128 --> 00:00:06.755
Tilastotulkintojen avulla
00:00:06.881 --> 00:00:10.003
löydämme pelaajista näkymätöntä arvoa
00:00:13.636 --> 00:00:14.888
Pelaajia ei huomioida
00:00:15.999 --> 00:00:18.085
mieltymykseen tai virheisiin liittyvistä syistä
00:00:19.999 --> 00:00:22.229
Ikään ulkomuotoon persoonallisuuteen
00:00:22.562 --> 00:00:27.192
Bill James ja matematiikka näkevät sen läpi
00:00:28.086 --> 00:00:32.003
20 000 pelaajan joukosta
00:00:32.197 --> 00:00:34.866
uskon meille löytyvän mestaruusjoukkueen
00:00:34.991 --> 00:00:38.118
johon meillä on varaa
00:00:38.243 --> 00:00:41.579
Koska kaikki muut aliarvioivat heitä
00:00:41.704 --> 00:00:44.917
Kuin epäkelpojen lelujen saari
00:00:01.000 --> 00:00:02.209
Le but est de tout réduire
00:00:02.209 --> 00:00:03.419
à une note
00:00:04.211 --> 00:00:05.545
En exploitant les stats
00:00:05.545 --> 00:00:06.881
comme on le fait
00:00:07.339 --> 00:00:08.569
on verra la valeur
00:00:08.569 --> 00:00:09.008
des joueurs ignorés
00:00:13.512 --> 00:00:15.222
Ils sont négligés
00:00:15.222 --> 00:00:16.933
sur des critères arbitraires
00:00:17.099 --> 00:00:18.851
considérés comme des faiblesses
00:00:19.001 --> 00:00:21.687
âge physique personnalité
00:00:22.354 --> 00:00:24.523
Bill James et les maths
00:00:24.523 --> 00:00:26.692
nous mènent directement à ça
00:00:29.445 --> 00:00:30.008
Sur les 20 000 joueurs d'intérêts
00:00:30.008 --> 00:00:32.156
à examiner
00:00:32.323 --> 00:00:34.007
il existe une équipe pour les Series
00:00:34.867 --> 00:00:36.389
de 25 joueurs
00:00:36.389 --> 00:00:37.912
que l'on peut s'offrir
00:00:38.204 --> 00:00:39.705
Parce que
00:00:39.705 --> 00:00:41.207
tout le monde les sous évalue
00:00:41.623 --> 00:00:44.335
Tels des vilains petits canards
00:00:01.000 --> 00:00:02.313
Wir wollen alle Infos
00:00:02.313 --> 00:00:03.628
auf eine Zahl reduzieren
00:00:04.212 --> 00:00:06.715
Da wir diese Daten anders gewichten
00:00:06.965 --> 00:00:08.404
entdecken wir Qualitäten
00:00:08.404 --> 00:00:09.843
die niemand sonst erkennt
00:00:13.555 --> 00:00:14.785
Spieler werden oft aufgrund
00:00:14.785 --> 00:00:16.001
von Fehleinschätzungen
00:00:16.182 --> 00:00:18.685
und Vorurteilen übersehen
00:00:18.852 --> 00:00:22.146
Alter Aussehen Auftreten
00:00:22.313 --> 00:00:24.691
Bill James
00:00:24.691 --> 00:00:27.001
und die Mathematik entlarven das
00:00:28.653 --> 00:00:31.948
Unter den 20 000 erfassten Spielern
00:00:32.115 --> 00:00:34.659
findet sich eine Meistermannschaft
00:00:34.826 --> 00:00:36.041
von 25 Spielern
00:00:36.041 --> 00:00:37.996
die wir uns leisten können
00:00:38.162 --> 00:00:41.332
Weil alle anderen sie unterbewerten
00:00:41.005 --> 00:00:43.126
Wie eine Halde
00:00:43.126 --> 00:00:44.753
voller ungeliebter Spielzeuge
00:00:01.000 --> 00:00:03.669
Ini tentang mendapatkan segalanya kedalam satu angka
00:00:04.129 --> 00:00:06.672
cara membacanya dengan menggunakan statistik
00:00:06.084 --> 00:00:10.991
Kita akan menemukan nilai dari pemain yang mana orang lain tak bisa melihat
00:00:13.513 --> 00:00:14.847
Orang orang yang terabaikan
00:00:15.999 --> 00:00:18.809
Dengan alasan yang biasa dan merasa kekurangan
00:00:18.977 --> 00:00:22.271
Umur penampilan kepribadian
00:00:22.439 --> 00:00:27.192
Bill James dan matematika melewati itu
00:00:28.778 --> 00:00:32.003
Billy dari 20 000 pemain terkemuka yang bisa kita pertimbangkan
00:00:32.024 --> 00:00:34.783
aku percaya kalau ada sebuah tim juara
00:00:34.951 --> 00:00:38.012
terdiri dari 25 orang yang bisa kita dapat
00:00:38.288 --> 00:00:41.457
karena orang lain di bisbol meremehkan mereka
00:00:41.624 --> 00:00:44.877
Seperti pulau mainan rusak
00:00:01.000 --> 00:00:02.334
Lo scopo è ridurre tutto
00:00:02.334 --> 00:00:03.067
a una singola cifra
00:00:04.128 --> 00:00:05.004
Leggendo le statistiche
00:00:05.004 --> 00:00:06.673
col nostro metodo
00:00:06.084 --> 00:00:08.424
troveremo nei giocatori
00:00:08.424 --> 00:00:10.003
valori che nessun altro vede
00:00:13.512 --> 00:00:15.999
Tanti giocatori vengono ignorati
00:00:15.223 --> 00:00:17.998
per una vasta gamma di preconcetti
00:00:17.998 --> 00:00:18.081
e presunti difetti
00:00:18.977 --> 00:00:22.271
Età aspetto personalità
00:00:22.438 --> 00:00:24.816
Bill James e le sue formule
00:00:24.816 --> 00:00:27.193
vanno dritti al sodo
00:00:28.778 --> 00:00:30.425
Tra i 20 000 giocatori
00:00:30.425 --> 00:00:32.073
che vale la pena valutare
00:00:32.024 --> 00:00:34.784
credo ci sia una squadra da titolo
00:00:34.951 --> 00:00:36.535
di 25 giocatori
00:00:36.535 --> 00:00:38.121
che ci possiamo permettere
00:00:38.287 --> 00:00:39.872
Perché chiunque altro nel baseball
00:00:39.872 --> 00:00:41.457
li sottovaluta
00:00:41.625 --> 00:00:43.251
Una specie di isola
00:00:43.251 --> 00:00:44.878
di giocattoli difettosi
00:00:01.000 --> 00:00:03.878
Ideen er å komme fram til ett tall
00:00:04.128 --> 00:00:07.214
Ved å tolke statistikken på vår måte finner vi
00:00:07.672 --> 00:00:10.001
spillerverdier som ingen andre ser
00:00:13.761 --> 00:00:18.766
Spillere overses på grunn av diverse fordommer og antatte brister
00:00:19.142 --> 00:00:22.145
Alder opptreden personlighet
00:00:22.562 --> 00:00:26.009
Bill James og matematikk skar rett gjennom det
00:00:28.902 --> 00:00:32.155
Av de 20 000 spillerne som vi kan vurdere
00:00:32.571 --> 00:00:36.001
tror jeg det finnes et mesterskapslag på 25 personer
00:00:36.909 --> 00:00:38.201
som vi har råd til
00:00:38.328 --> 00:00:41.058
Fordi alle andre i baseball undervurderer dem
00:00:41.747 --> 00:00:44.917
De er som en øy av uønskede leker
00:00:01.000 --> 00:00:03.627
Celem jest uzyskanie jednego wymiernego kryterium
00:00:04.086 --> 00:00:06.672
Wykorzystując dane statystyczne
00:00:06.839 --> 00:00:09.967
wyłowimy zawodników których nikt inny nie dostrzega
00:00:13.511 --> 00:00:14.804
Graczy odrzuca się
00:00:14.972 --> 00:00:18.766
na podstawie wyglądu lub ewidentnych wad
00:00:18.933 --> 00:00:22.228
Wiek wygląd osobowość
00:00:22.395 --> 00:00:27.015
Bill James i matematyka pozwalają z tym skończyć
00:00:28.735 --> 00:00:32.001
Wierzę że z 20 tysięcy dobrych graczy na rynku
00:00:32.196 --> 00:00:34.074
wyłowimy mistrzowską 25 osobową drużynę
00:00:34.907 --> 00:00:38.001
na którą nas stać
00:00:38.244 --> 00:00:41.413
Ludzi których nikt w tym światku nie docenia
00:00:41.058 --> 00:00:44.875
To jak wyspa popsutych zabawek
00:00:01.000 --> 00:00:02.294
Trata se de reduzir tudo
00:00:02.295 --> 00:00:03.586
a um único número
00:00:04.254 --> 00:00:05.505
Usando as estatísticas
00:00:05.506 --> 00:00:06.756
tal como as lemos
00:00:07.048 --> 00:00:08.571
encontramos valores em jogadores
00:00:08.572 --> 00:00:10.001
que mais ninguém vê
00:00:13.596 --> 00:00:16.999
Os jogadores são ignorados por
00:00:16.001 --> 00:00:18.056
uma série de preconceitos e falhas
00:00:19.101 --> 00:00:21.271
Idade aparência personalidade
00:00:22.439 --> 00:00:24.316
Bill James e a Matemática
00:00:24.317 --> 00:00:26.193
eliminam tudo isso
00:00:28.903 --> 00:00:30.509
Billy dos 20 mil bons jogadores
00:00:30.051 --> 00:00:32.114
que podemos considerar
00:00:32.449 --> 00:00:33.658
creio haver uma equipa
00:00:33.659 --> 00:00:34.867
de campeonato
00:00:35.999 --> 00:00:36.062
composta por 25 jogadores
00:00:36.621 --> 00:00:38.205
para a qual temos recursos
00:00:38.058 --> 00:00:41.208
Porque no basebol são desvalorizados por todos os outros
00:00:41.708 --> 00:00:43.002
Como uma ilha de brinquedos
00:00:43.064 --> 00:00:44.419
desadequados
00:00:01.000 --> 00:00:02.543
Ясно
00:00:02.628 --> 00:00:05.629
Весь смысл в том чтобы свести всё к одной цифре
00:00:05.839 --> 00:00:08.008
используя статистику по нашему методу
00:00:08.009 --> 00:00:11.426
мы увидим ценность игроков которую больше никто не увидит
00:00:14.806 --> 00:00:19.644
Люди необъективно смотрят на различные доводы и очевидные недостатки
00:00:20.269 --> 00:00:23.479
возраст внешность черты характера
00:00:23.898 --> 00:00:27.026
Билл Джеймс и математика всё это давно просчитали
00:00:29.904 --> 00:00:33.656
Я верю что из 20 000 просматриваемых нами приличных игроков
00:00:33.741 --> 00:00:36.243
можно собрать отличную чемпионскую команду
00:00:36.327 --> 00:00:39.497
25 человек которые нам по карману
00:00:39.581 --> 00:00:42.708
потому что все остальные люди в бейсболе недооценивают их
00:00:42.792 --> 00:00:45.961
Это как остров сломанных игрушек
00:00:01.000 --> 00:00:02.355
Se trata de reducirlo todo
00:00:02.355 --> 00:00:03.711
a un número
00:00:04.086 --> 00:00:07.256
Usando las estadísticas así
00:00:07.547 --> 00:00:09.967
hallaremos valores que nadie ve
00:00:13.721 --> 00:00:16.223
Ignoran a jugadores por una serie
00:00:16.039 --> 00:00:18.726
de prejuicios y supuestos defectos
00:00:19.101 --> 00:00:22.104
La edad el aspecto la personalidad
00:00:22.396 --> 00:00:24.398
Bill James y las matemáticas
00:00:24.564 --> 00:00:26.734
están por encima de eso
00:00:28.819 --> 00:00:30.466
De los 20 000 jugadores de nivel
00:00:30.466 --> 00:00:32.114
a considerar
00:00:32.406 --> 00:00:34.158
hay un equipo ganador
00:00:34.158 --> 00:00:35.091
de 25 personas
00:00:36.744 --> 00:00:38.162
que podemos pagar
00:00:38.412 --> 00:00:41.456
Porque están infravaloradas
00:00:41.624 --> 00:00:43.208
Como una isla
00:00:43.208 --> 00:00:44.794
de juguetes abandonados
00:00:01.000 --> 00:00:05.753
Det arbetar med all information vi har om spelarna
00:00:05.092 --> 00:00:09.997
Man måste få ner allt till en enda siffra
00:00:09.173 --> 00:00:11.008
Använder vi statistiken så här
00:00:11.968 --> 00:00:16.305
hittar vi kvaliteter i spelare som ingen annan ser
00:00:18.557 --> 00:00:23.894
Folk sorteras bort på grund av förutfattade meningar och upplevda fel
00:00:24.001 --> 00:00:27.148
Ålder utseende personlighet
00:00:27.315 --> 00:00:31.944
Bill James statistik löser det problemet
00:00:33.778 --> 00:00:37.073
Bland de 20 000 spelare som finns att tillgå
00:00:37.241 --> 00:00:43.001
tror jag att det finns ett mästarlag om 25 spelare som vi har råd med
00:00:43.246 --> 00:00:46.054
eftersom alla andra undervärderar dem
00:00:46.707 --> 00:00:49.096
Som en ö full med oönskade leksaker
Available in 15 languages
Duration
46 seconds
Views
1,154
Timestamp in Movie
00:27:25
Uploaded
Mar 01, 2026
Genres
Production
Columbia Pictures,Michael De Luca Productions,Sidney Kimmel Entertainment,Specialty Films
Want This Clip in HD?
Upgrade for HD/4K downloads and unlimited access. Upgrade now →
Movie Summary
The story of Oakland Athletics general manager Billy Beane's successful attempt to put together a baseball team on a budget, by employing computer-generated analysis to draft his players.
